Spread -1 • New York Knicks

Situationally, this is a strong response spot: New York is looking to stop a two-game skid after a seven-game win streak, while Houston is off a 134–102 blowout win that can inflate market perception. Knicks are 43–16 as favorites and 44–16 when favored in this moneyline range, whereas the Rockets are just 3–6 outright as underdogs, and 13–22 ATS at home, indicating they have been consistently overpriced at Toyota Center. With the line essentially near a pick’em, taking the better, deeper team with the superior late-game engine and a strong historical profile in the favorite role is enough to make Knicks ML / -1 a 5-unit top play for me.