Run Line -1.5 • Detroit Tigers

I’m taking Detroit -1.5 (+147) for one unit because the market looks like it wants a team that can create a couple of runs and actually protect them — which, yes, is asking for common sense. The -1.5 spread directly ties to expected game flow: I expect a controlled game where Detroit builds a modest lead and prevents a one-run scrap. No crystal balls here, just a reasonable edge.