Fort Wayne Mastodons at Duquesne Dukes

Reasoned play: Take Fort Wayne at +10.5 because matchups and expected tempo suggest variance that favors keeping the margin under 11 points; the odds at --125 are a fair price for a 4-unit allocation if you believe in controlled possessions and bench contribution. The spread means Fort Wayne can lose by up to 10 points or win outright and the wager still pays, so the projected game flow is a moderately paced contest with the Mastodons staying within striking distance; manage exposure and do not chase losses.