Spread +21.5 • Fresno State Bulldogs

Sharp move: Fresno State Bulldogs +21.5 --112 — I’m backing this with 4 units. You see these spots a lot: heavy favorite gets respect but books lay you a number that often lets the underdog cover if the favorite isn’t flawless. The +21.5 implies Fresno can lose by less than 22 or win outright, so game flow should be USC favored to dominate, but Fresno likely holds enough to keep it within that range.