Run Line +1.5 • Pittsburgh Pirates

Live pick: Pirates -1.5, 3 units at Caesars — expect a disciplined performance from Pittsburgh tonight that controls tempo and puts steady pressure on Texas. They’ve been competitive in the sure-to-be tight moments and I like their chances to push across the necessary runs when it counts. The -1.5 spread suggests a moderately close game but with Pittsburgh taking an edge; I’m expecting them to build and protect a small lead into the late innings.