Moneyline • Chicago White Sox

I’m allocating 3 units to Chicago White Sox +120 as a high-variance, upside play; the rationale is that extreme lines can reflect market overreaction to matchup factors and leave value on the table. This is a binary wager — low probability but high payoff — so position sizing matters and I’m treating it accordingly. That spread reflects market expectations of an Astros-controlled game, meaning the flow will likely favor Houston managing innings while Chicago must generate run-scoring opportunities in situational at-bats or late innings to overcome the odds.