Run Line +1.5 • Pittsburgh Pirates

Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 -105, 3 units. The +1.5 line implies the Pirates only need to avoid a multi-run loss—lose by one or win—to cover, which aligns with an anticipated close game where starting pitching and relievers limit big innings. Given expected matchup balance and bullpen usage patterns, the cushion makes this a rational risk-reward decision.