Spread +9.5 • Providence Friars

Providence enters this Big East battle with a gritty defensive identity and a track record of playing up to strong competition. Villanova has talent but has struggled at times to create separation, particularly against physical, well-coached teams like Providence. With the Friars’ ability to control the pace, crash the boards, and limit second-chance points, they’re well-positioned to keep this game close and cover the +9.5 spread.