Run Line +1.5 • Milwaukee Brewers

Pick: Milwaukee Brewers +1.5 --145. I’m taking the value — this line buys you a one-run cushion in what looks like a low-margin matchup, and I’ll be confident staking 3 units. The +1.5 lets the Brewers lose by one or win outright, so it suits an expected close, bullpen-driven finish. Sharp edges on a soft number; back it and move on.