Moneyline • Baltimore Orioles

Play: Baltimore Orioles +125, 2 units — the line offers positive expected value given matchup dynamics (starter matchup, bullpen depth and offensive timing are all factors that could tilt a one-run game). The +125 spread implies the Orioles are modest underdogs and that the expected flow is a close game where small sample events (a late rally or bullpen inning) determine the winner.