Spread +10 • Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Pick: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders +10 --106. Uh, right — I'm kind of leaning into this one even though I keep replaying the matchup in my head; the Blue Raiders look like the safer cover if the game's sloppy and low-scoring, so I'm putting modest faith behind it (4 units, yes, I know what that means... I think). This +10 means Middle Tennessee can lose by up to nine points or win outright and still hit the number, so expect them to hang around and keep the game within reach rather than getting blown out.