Spread -9.5 • Oklahoma City Thunder

Rationale: Oklahoma City benefits from a tempo and depth advantage that should pressure Phoenix in transition and wear down the half‑court defense. With those matchup levers, the Thunder can generate scoring runs and limit comeback windows; this underpins the decision to back them at -9.5. The -9.5 spread aligns with a game flow where Oklahoma City controls tempo and builds a multi‑possession lead into the second half; as always, treat this as a probabilistic play rather than a certainty.