Moneyline • Washington Nationals

Alright, small voice but I'm going with Washington Nationals --105 (3 units) — I know, bold on paper, but their home comfort and bullpen matchups make me lean this way even though I'm half-expecting to eat my words. I won't promise anything, just a hopeful nudge toward a team that should be in the right spots late. The spread implication here is that the market expects a close game decided by a few late outs or one big inning, so expect tight margins and pivotal bullpen usage.