Alternate Run Line +2.5 • Miami Marlins

Locking in Marlins +2.5 at -133 for 2 units — this is the kind of number you take when you expect a tight contest and want downside protection. The Dodgers are dangerous, but +2.5 buys you that margin; I expect Miami to hang in there and force a low-to-medium scoring, competitive affair. The spread reflects an expectation of a close game where Miami stays within two runs, so the bet is about value and covering variance late in the game. I’ve seen this setup before — take the cushion and move on.