Moneyline • Canelo Álvarez

Okay, so I’m kind of nervous saying this but I’m taking Canelo Alvarez --330 — yeah, that’s the pick I’m locking in for this one. I know it looks massive and maybe I’m overthinking it, but I like the matchup dynamics here and I’m putting a small 2-unit tilt on it. The spread (as implied by these odds) suggests a one-sided fight where Canelo is expected to dictate tempo and limit Mbilli’s opportunities. Not predicting miracles, just favoring the safer route — but hey, boxing is messy, so don’t bet your rent on it.